NFL Sports Analysis Intelligence · Season 2026

ALWAYS
COLLECT

Cover Everything. Every Week. Every Edge.

Power Ratings · Spread Analysis · Expected Value · Kelly Staking · CLV Tracking
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0%
ATS Accuracy
0.000
Brier Score
+EV
Every Pick
0
Games Analysed
33%
Kelly Fraction
NFL Spreads LIVE
ATS Accuracy 54.3%
Brier Score 0.228
EV Threshold ≥0.02
Kelly Fraction 33%
Phase 0 COMPLETE
272 Games ANALYSED
The Book OPERATIONAL
CLV TRACKED WEEKLY
Season 2026 SEPT 4
Power Ratings 32 TEAMS
Sports Intelligence ACTIVE
NFL Spreads LIVE
ATS Accuracy 54.3%
Brier Score 0.228
EV Threshold ≥0.02
Kelly Fraction 33%
Phase 0 COMPLETE
272 Games ANALYSED
The Book OPERATIONAL
CLV TRACKED WEEKLY
Season 2026 SEPT 4
Power Ratings 32 TEAMS
Sports Intelligence ACTIVE

What We Do

SPORTS ANALYSIS
INTELLIGENCE

Always Collect is not a tipster. It is a professional NFL prediction engine — calibrated, tracked, and transparent.

⚡
Power Rating Engine
All 32 NFL teams rated weekly via Elo, nFelo, offense, defense, and home field analysis
📊
Spread Modelling
Model spreads calculated independently of the market — divergence is where edges are found
🎯
Probability Calibration
Win probabilities backtested against closing market data — Brier score 0.228, target met
📈
CLV Tracking
Every bet tracked against the closing line. Beat the close = proven edge. Full transparency weekly
The Process

The Method

HOW THE
BOOK
WORKS

Five rigorous steps. Every game. Every week. No shortcuts, no gut calls.

01
Power Ratings

Every NFL team rated weekly across offense, defense, and home field. Elo and nFelo systems integrated.

02
Model Spread

The Book builds its own spread for every game. Market divergence reveals where value lives.

03
EV Filter

Only plays with Expected Value ≥ 0.02 are selected. Everything below is a PASS.

04
Kelly Staking

33% fractional Kelly on every play. Bankroll protected. Long-term growth maximised.

05
CLV Tracking

Every pick logged against the closing line after games. Positive CLV = proven edge.

THE COLLECTION — WEEK 1 · 2026 MEMBERS LIVE
NE @ SEA BET HOME +EV 0.182 TIER A
CHI @ CAR BET AWAY +EV 0.426 TIER A
TB @ CIN BET HOME +EV 0.213 TIER A
NO @ DET BET HOME +EV 0.643 TIER A
4 BETS · 12 PASS · EV ≥ 0.02 ALWAYS COLLECT ◆
POWER RATINGS — TOP 8 TEAMS · WEEK 0
The Engine

The Engine

POWERED
BY THE
BOOK

54.3% ATS across 92 backtested games — inside the 54–57% target range for long-term profitability.

Brier Score 0.228 — below the 0.24 threshold, confirming calibrated probability output.

2026 is the first live season. Every pick tracked publicly — ATS result, CLV, and ROI — every week.

K-factor corrected ÷4.71. All contaminated 2025 data cleared. Clean validation begins September 4, 2026.

ATS Accuracy
54.3%
Target 54–57%
Brier Score
0.228
Target <0.24 ✓
EV Threshold
≥0.02
Minimum to bet
Kelly Fraction
33%
Bankroll protected
ENGINE STATUS
Phase 0 Complete — 2026 Season Live · 92 Games · K-factor ÷4.71 · Data Cleared

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LEVEL

Three tiers. One engine. Always Collect.

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  • Weekly NFL picks — The Collection
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  • EV-filtered plays only
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Full model access. Live dashboard. Private Discord. Everything The Book produces.

  • Everything in Collect Access
  • Live model dashboard
  • All 32 team power ratings
  • CLV tracking — every bet
  • Private Discord — The Collect Room
  • Weekly model breakdown
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€199/mo

White glove access. Raw model data. Built for serious bankrolls only.

  • Everything in Collect Pro
  • Raw model data exports
  • Custom power rating inputs
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  • Priority Discord support
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Season Starts September 2026

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IN THE
ROOM

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